If anyone can write code what happens to software engineers?
I saw a tweet today where someone was wondering what will happen to software engineers now that anyone can write code.
People who were not writing code, are not going to become software engineers for a bunch of reasons
Vast majority of human population does not care about writing code. Not able to write code was not the reason they were not writing code. They just couldn't care less. This could be because they have different careers, have different interests and look at the world differently. Claude and Codex is not going to change that. They make up probably 99% of human population.
So the people who care about writing code is probably 1% of the population.
Let's say .5% of them already knew how to write code before AI. And some percentage of them are employed as software engineers.
The remaining .5% probably was interested in writing code but never got a chance to do that. Now they can write code with the help of ai tools.
So there is more potential candidates in the software engineering hiring pool.
But now the question is who will companies hire?
Will they hire people who can write code without ai, knows the fundamentals of how computers work or hire people who treat of the whole process as a blackbox and don't know how to code?
My guess is vat majority of the companies are still going to hire for people who have deep understanding in fundamentals and are good at problem solving and writing code.
Companies will continue to hire people who have a lot of experience maintaining software and debugging software.
None of these processes are going to change. Maybe some companies might need less people.
But new companies will emerge.
So at the end of the day software engineering hiring pipeline is not going to change much because the best companies still want to hire the smartest engineers.